BirdAnalyst
Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mallard Population Trend in Nevada

All statesWaterfowl

Mallard in Nevada has surged: up 93% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+93%Since 1970
35Routes In State
48Years

Notable Mallard Trends in Nevada

long arc increasecomputed index

Mallard has surged in Nevada: up 93% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Mallard Population Forecast in Nevada

If the recent trend holds, Mallard in Nevada is projected to rise about 255% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 0.49–7.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±207.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+255%Change by 2029
3.9Projected 2029 index
0.49–7.495% range
±207.4%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.80.337.2
20263.80.377.3
20273.90.417.3
20283.90.457.3
20293.90.497.4

Mallard Survey Routes in Nevada

Routes recording Mallard in Nevada.
Dobbin Creek2020161971
Virgin Creek1420181995
Gardnerville1120121992
Vya1019731972
Sheldon Nwr820071992
Nixon720241974
Majors Place620191969
Cortez520241968
Carson River520052001
Fallon520241992
Dinner Sta419911968
Humboldt Nf320152007
Illipah320172000
Gardnerville 2320242013
Calico Spr219731973
Ranchogrande220171991
Sand Pass220241993
Rye Patch219871987
Fish Creek220211997
Walker Can219731972
Austin220182013
Midas120241991
Toiyabe Nf120241987
Eureka120241971
Ruby Valley 2120242004

Mallard Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.