Species · Maine · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Mallard Population Trend in Maine
Mallard in Maine has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.
14×Since 1972
52Routes In State
51Years
Notable Mallard Trends in Maine
long arc increasecomputed index
Mallard has surged in Maine: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Mallard Population Forecast in Maine
If the recent trend holds, Mallard in Maine is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.65–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+28%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.65–2.995% range
±68.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.6 | 0.52 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 1.7 | 0.55 | 2.8 |
| 2027 | 1.7 | 0.58 | 2.8 |
| 2028 | 1.7 | 0.62 | 2.8 |
| 2029 | 1.8 | 0.65 | 2.9 |
Mallard Survey Routes in Maine
| Manchester | 42 | 1995 | 1977 |
| Greenwood | 8 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Turner | 6 | 2010 | 1990 |
| Cape Neddick | 5 | 2022 | 1978 |
| Boundary | 5 | 2015 | 1995 |
| Kittery Pt | 4 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Hartford | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Harmony | 4 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Hermon | 4 | 2019 | 2006 |
| Warren | 3 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Brooks | 3 | 2013 | 1996 |
| Hancock | 3 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Newcastle | 2 | 2008 | 1989 |
| Reeds | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| South Arm | 2 | 2012 | 1984 |
| Aurora | 2 | 2017 | 2009 |
| Deblois | 2 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Charleston | 2 | 2016 | 1995 |
| Greenville | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Cambridge | 2 | 2008 | 1998 |
| Forest Sta | 2 | 1967 | 1967 |
| Lake Moxie | 2 | 2022 | 2009 |
| Horse Mtn | 2 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Westbrook | 1 | 2008 | 1990 |
| Biddeford | 1 | 2018 | 1987 |
Mallard Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.