Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Texas
Eastern Kingbird in Texas has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-71%Since 1969
148Routes In State
57Years
Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in Texas
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Kingbird has fallen sharply in Texas: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Texas is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 0.38 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.42 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±83%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+12%Change by 2029
0.42Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±83%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Texas
| Smyrna | 15 | 2010 | 1995 |
| Schroeder | 13 | 1996 | 1969 |
| Raymondville | 10 | 1992 | 1974 |
| Cayuga | 9 | 2022 | 2001 |
| Easton 2 | 9 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Mount Zion | 8 | 2010 | 1994 |
| Kosse | 7 | 2017 | 1969 |
| Stowell | 6 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Muldoon | 5 | 1998 | 1997 |
| Peach Creek | 5 | 1992 | 1967 |
| Oakwood | 5 | 1995 | 1967 |
| Olney | 5 | 2021 | 1972 |
| Thornton 2 | 5 | 2001 | 1986 |
| Union Hill | 5 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Girard | 5 | 2010 | 2003 |
| Winnie | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Morton | 4 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Chandler | 4 | 2004 | 1968 |
| Lydia | 4 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Miller Grove | 4 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Wolfe City | 4 | 1987 | 1969 |
| Manor | 4 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Bayside | 4 | 1996 | 1994 |
| Burton | 4 | 2001 | 1999 |
| Weches | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.