BirdAnalyst
Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Indiana

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Indiana has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-2%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in IndianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Indiana. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Indiana is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.2–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–4.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±27.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Indiana is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.2–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.91.34.5
20262.91.24.5
20272.81.24.5
20282.81.24.4
20292.81.24.4

Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Indiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Indian Spgs1320241982
Thorntown1020241982
New Phila1020241982
Portage 21020242005
Knox820241981
Friendswood820241986
Jamestown820241986
Newberry820241999
Georgia820241999
Middlebury720241989
Brookville720241966
Witts Station720242000
South Bend619911966
Fowler620241966
Spencer620241967
Sexton620241981
Lagrange620241999
Wallace620241999
Lakeville620241993
Packertown520041967
Wabash520241982
Cumback520211966
Scottsburg520241982
Laporte520241999
Kankakee Sands520242000

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.