BirdAnalyst
Species · Indiana · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Indiana

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Indiana has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+4%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
68Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in IndianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Indiana. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Indiana

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Indiana is projected to fall about 36% by 2030 — from 4.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.2–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-36%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–4.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Indiana is projected to fall about 36% by 2030 — from 4.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.2–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.01.34.6
20273.01.34.6
20282.91.34.6
20292.91.34.6
20302.91.24.6

Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Indiana

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Indiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Newberry1820251999
Knox1720251981
Indian Spgs1620251982
Brookville1520251966
New Phila1320251982
Kankakee Sands1120252000
Friendswood820241986
Jamestown820251986
Monticello720251981
Celestine720251979
South Bend619911966
Spencer620241967
Sexton620241981
Lagrange620251999
Wallace620241999
Lakeville620241993
Hebron520251966
Middlebury520251989
Packertown520041967
Thorntown520251982
Cumback520251966
Corydon520251966
New Brunswick520252025
Laporte520241999
Packertown 2520252005

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.