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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-2%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
74Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 8.1–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.1–1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 8.1–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026138.217
2027138.217
2028138.217
2029138.217
2030138.117

Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Surprise6020251967
Sumner3920251967
Sparta3520251967
Wheeler Co3420251978
Tilden3320252019
Belvidere3220251967
Chambers3220252023
Murdock3220252018
Berwyn 23220252014
Brady3020251980
Hendley3020252018
Eagle Creek2920251967
Midway2420251967
Liberty2220031967
Almeria2120211969
Oconto2119811968
Hampton2120252018
Kennedy1920251976
Winside1820031967
Swan Lake1820251969
Boelus1820222018
Gordon1720251975
Berwyn1720101993
Kearney1620251968
Table1620251973

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.