BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska has held roughly steady: down 7% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-7%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
74Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 13 (95% range 8.0–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.0–1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 13 (95% range 8.0–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025138.117
2026138.117
2027138.017
2028138.017
2029138.017

Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Maxwell6920242018
Chambers6220232023
Sumner3120241967
Belvidere3020241967
Petersburg2820231969
Hendley2820242018
Sparta2720211967
Nenzel2620242018
Ponca2620242018
Tilden2520242019
Hampton2520242018
Liberty2220031967
Surprise2220241967
Berwyn 22220212014
Wheeler Co2220241978
Almeria2120211969
Oconto2119811968
Kenesaw2020241967
Crawford1920241980
Crookston1920242018
Winside1820031967
Boelus1820222018
Midway1720231967
Berwyn1720101993
Mullen1620231990

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.