Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Arkansas
Eastern Kingbird in Arkansas has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-63%Since 1969
59Routes In State
57Years
Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in Arkansas
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Kingbird has fallen sharply in Arkansas: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Arkansas is projected to rise about 64% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.9 (95% range 1.5–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±100.8%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+64%Change by 2029
2.9Projected 2029 index
1.5–4.495% range
±100.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 2026 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 2027 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| 2028 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 4.4 |
| 2029 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 4.4 |
Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Farwell | 36 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Maynard | 17 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Blakely | 12 | 1999 | 1968 |
| Saffell | 11 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Old Milo | 9 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Centerton | 9 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Compton | 8 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Ravenden Springs | 8 | 2015 | 2010 |
| South Bend | 7 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Springhill | 7 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Yellville | 6 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Kelso | 6 | 2016 | 2011 |
| Ashdown | 5 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Poyen | 5 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Russell | 5 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Augusta 2 | 4 | 2016 | 2002 |
| Havana | 3 | 2021 | 2010 |
| Lockesburg | 3 | 2019 | 2010 |
| Stephens | 3 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Magazine Mtn | 3 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Princeton | 3 | 2014 | 1998 |
| Nance | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Stamps | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Crows | 2 | 1991 | 1967 |
| Harrisburg | 2 | 2019 | 1967 |
Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.