Species · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Kentucky
Eastern Kingbird in Kentucky has declined: down 28% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-28%Since 1968
62Routes In State
58Years
Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in Kentucky
No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Kentucky. See the full index history below.
Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Kentucky
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Kentucky is projected to rise about 30% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.2 (95% range 3.2–7.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+30%Change by 2029
5.2Projected 2029 index
3.2–7.395% range
±17.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 7.4 |
| 2026 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 7.4 |
| 2027 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 7.3 |
| 2028 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 7.3 |
| 2029 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 7.3 |
Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Kentucky
| Levee 2 | 23 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Boxville | 14 | 1983 | 1966 |
| Iron Bridge | 13 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Merrimac | 13 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Bays Fork | 13 | 2019 | 1999 |
| Million 2 | 13 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Pleasurevill | 12 | 2024 | 1979 |
| East Union | 11 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Eastview | 9 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Sunnybrook | 8 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Kings Mtn | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Buena Vista | 8 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Hodgenville 2 | 8 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Johnsonville | 7 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Goshen | 7 | 1999 | 1966 |
| Sewell Shop | 7 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Lebanon Junction | 7 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Sulphur Lick | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Mckee | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Hodgenville | 6 | 2003 | 1969 |
| Cumberlnd Gp | 5 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Shiloh | 5 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Million | 5 | 1985 | 1967 |
| Dixon | 4 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Hustonville | 4 | 2024 | 1966 |
Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.