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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Georgia

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Georgia has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-39%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Georgia. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Georgia is projected to fall about 31% by 2030 — from 6.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 2.2–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.2–6.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±31.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Georgia is projected to fall about 31% by 2030 — from 6.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 2.2–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.62.46.7
20274.52.36.7
20284.42.36.6
20294.42.26.6
20304.32.26.5

Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Maxeys2220241966
Dover2120251976
Stoney Point2120072007
Boston1720251975
Ousley1720252015
Weber1620252006
Lacross1520251973
Rutledge1520251975
Bethany1520252012
Lakeview1520252006
Wrightsville1320251966
Tazewell1320251967
Wadley1320251977
Metasville1320001997
Philema1320252010
Davis Crossroads1120252011
Newton1020251975
Fairplay1019911966
Workmore1020251978
Union1020242011
Candler1020252009
Douglas919841978
Owensboro920252010
Minter Tweed920252016
Rock Branch920252005

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.