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Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Georgia

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Kingbird in Georgia has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-39%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Kingbird Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Kingbird in Georgia. See the full index history below.

Eastern Kingbird Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Georgia is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 6.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 2.1–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.3Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.1–6.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±31.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Kingbird in Georgia is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 6.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 2.1–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.52.46.6
20264.42.36.6
20274.42.26.5
20284.32.26.5
20294.32.16.4

Eastern Kingbird Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Eastern Kingbird in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Boston2620241975
Maxeys2220241966
Stoney Point2120072007
Workmore1720191978
Dover1620241976
Tazewell1520241967
Wadley1520241977
Pitts1320241977
Metasville1320001997
Ousley1320242015
Weber1320242006
Cotton1220241972
Finleyson1220241976
Philema1220242010
Rutledge1120241975
Newton1020241975
Fairplay1019911966
Henderson1020241973
Sharon 21020242023
Fitzgerald920241966
Lacross920211973
Douglas919841978
Union920232011
Shiloh920242012
Minter Tweed920242016

Eastern Kingbird Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.