BirdAnalyst
Guild · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Forest Birds In Mississippi

All statesMississippi

34 species in this guild. As a group they are +136%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for forest birds in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Forest Birds In Mississippi Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Mississippi is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 5.9 (95% range 4.8–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.8–6.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Mississippi is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 5.9 (95% range 4.8–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.74.66.7
20265.74.76.8
20275.84.76.8
20285.84.86.9
20295.94.86.9

Member Species In Mississippi

Forest birds species in Mississippi.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Bewick's WrenTroglodytidae-73%
American RobinTurdidae-57%
Warbling VireoVireonidae-41%
Common YellowthroatParulidae-39%
Red-cockaded WoodpeckerPicidae-38%
Hairy WoodpeckerPicidae-15%
OvenbirdParulidae-11%
Red-headed WoodpeckerPicidae+22%
Swainson's WarblerParulidae+32%
Wood ThrushTurdidae+56%
American RedstartParulidae+81%
Eastern BluebirdTurdidae+116%
White-eyed VireoVireonidae+119%
Louisiana WaterthrushParulidae+131%
Brown-headed NuthatchSittidae+159%
Carolina ChickadeeParidae+183%
Worm-eating WarblerParulidae+194%
Kentucky WarblerParulidae+194%
Red-bellied WoodpeckerPicidae+205%
Tufted TitmouseParidae+214%
Black-and-white WarblerParulidae+247%
Northern ParulaParulidae+257%
Prothonotary WarblerParulidae+308%
Yellow-throated VireoVireonidae+312%
Carolina WrenTroglodytidae+325%
Yellow-throated WarblerParulidae+337%
Downy WoodpeckerPicidae+341%
Pine WarblerParulidae+374%
Pileated WoodpeckerPicidae+395%
Blue-gray GnatcatcherPolioptilidae+546%
Prairie WarblerParulidae+551%
White-breasted NuthatchSittidae+558%
Hooded WarblerParulidae+878%
Red-eyed VireoVireonidae16×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.