BirdAnalyst
Guild · Mississippi · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Forest Birds In Mississippi

All statesMississippi

53 species in this guild. As a group they are +50%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for forest birds in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Forest Birds In Mississippi Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Mississippi is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 6.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.3 (95% range 5.7–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.7–8.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Mississippi is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 6.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.3 (95% range 5.7–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20267.25.68.8
20277.25.78.8
20287.35.78.8
20297.35.78.8
20307.35.78.9

Member Species In Mississippi

Forest birds species in Mississippi.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Bewick's WrenTroglodytidae-73%
Field SparrowPasserellidae-73%
Baltimore OrioleIcteridae-68%
Brown ThrasherMimidae-63%
Gray CatbirdMimidae-56%
American RobinTurdidae-52%
Orchard OrioleIcteridae-46%
Warbling VireoVireonidae-41%
Blue JayCorvidae-39%
Red-cockaded WoodpeckerPicidae-38%
Common YellowthroatParulidae-36%
Painted BuntingCardinalidae-26%
Eastern TowheePasserellidae-23%
Hairy WoodpeckerPicidae-17%
OvenbirdParulidae-11%
Northern CardinalCardinalidae-3%
American RedstartParulidae+14%
Red-headed WoodpeckerPicidae+14%
Scarlet TanagerCardinalidae+26%
Ruby-throated HummingbirdTrochilidae+28%
Bachman's SparrowPasserellidae+50%
Yellow-breasted ChatIcteriidae+51%
Swainson's WarblerParulidae+53%
Summer TanagerCardinalidae+59%
Wood ThrushTurdidae+61%
Blue GrosbeakCardinalidae+74%
Brown-headed NuthatchSittidae+105%
American GoldfinchFringillidae+115%
White-eyed VireoVireonidae+121%
Eastern BluebirdTurdidae+121%
Yellow-billed CuckooCuculidae+125%
Louisiana WaterthrushParulidae+141%
Indigo BuntingCardinalidae+159%
Carolina ChickadeeParidae+164%
Red-bellied WoodpeckerPicidae+208%
Worm-eating WarblerParulidae+213%
Tufted TitmouseParidae+215%
Kentucky WarblerParulidae+236%
Northern ParulaParulidae+246%
Black-and-white WarblerParulidae+270%
Yellow-throated VireoVireonidae+278%
Downy WoodpeckerPicidae+319%
Yellow-throated WarblerParulidae+340%
Prothonotary WarblerParulidae+346%
Carolina WrenTroglodytidae+357%
Pine WarblerParulidae+382%
Pileated WoodpeckerPicidae+409%
Blue-gray GnatcatcherPolioptilidae+529%
White-breasted NuthatchSittidae+534%
Prairie WarblerParulidae+582%
Chipping SparrowPasserellidae+619%
Hooded WarblerParulidae+875%
Red-eyed VireoVireonidae17×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.