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Species · Mississippi · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Mississippi has surged: up 208% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+208%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
74Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-bellied Woodpecker Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in Mississippi: up 208% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to rise about 37% by 2030 — from 14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 20 (95% range 14–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+37%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
14–2595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to rise about 37% by 2030 — from 14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 20 (95% range 14–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026191324
2027191425
2028191425
2029191425
2030201425

Red-bellied Woodpecker Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trace Lorman6120192016
Trace South5420192007
Vicksburg Np4420212016
Oak Ridge Vick3820212015
Leaf River3220132008
Walthall2719871970
Delta N.F.2720211995
Trace Lee2520182013
Amite River2420132008
Star2320252016
De Soto2220192008
Forest2120251972
Lake2120251966
Trace Central2120252007
Eagle Lake2120252012
Tallahatchie2120251996
Tchula 22019941976
Trace Choctaw2020192012
Olive Branch 22020222016
Dundee1920221970
Commerce1919931966
Neely1920121974
Holly Springs1920242009
Trace North1920182008
Trace Hinds1920252014

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.