BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Ohio

All statesForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Ohio has surged: up 325% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+325%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
88Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-bellied Woodpecker Trends in OhioNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in Ohio: up 325% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Ohio is projected to rise about 22% by 2030 — from 7.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 9.4 (95% range 7.7–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+22%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.7–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Ohio is projected to rise about 22% by 2030 — from 7.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 9.4 (95% range 7.7–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20268.97.211
20279.07.311
20289.27.411
20299.37.611
20309.47.711

Red-bellied Woodpecker Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Ohio.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Harveysburg1919961966
Rome1920251966
Stonecreek1920251996
Tick Ridge1920191993
Mohican S.F.1820251992
Dresden1720251966
Baxter Ridge1620251998
Fulton1420251966
Birmingham1420241988
South Olive1420251993
Keene1420231992
Lattasburg1320251966
Petersburg1320071996
Bloomville1120251992
Pittsfield1120241992
Newcomerstwn1119951966
Cuba1120241992
Omega1120241966
Pomeroy1120221966
Pike S.F.1120131992
Kunkle1020241993
Lucerne920251992
Meadowbrook920211966
Smithfield920251966
West Elkton920121992

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.