Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Analysis

PicidaeForest birdsMelanerpes carolinus

Red-bellied Woodpecker has increased: up 46% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

About the Red-bellied Woodpecker

The Red-bellied Woodpecker (Melanerpes carolinus) is a North American member of the Woodpeckers (Picidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the forest birds.

Size
6–19.5 in long (15–50 cm) — a chisel-billed climber (typical for the family)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and spiders gleaned from foliage and bark, with seeds and berries in season.
Range
Recorded on 2,389 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 37 states, most concentrated in the Appalachian Mountains.
Family
Picidae · Forest birds

Notable Red-bellied Woodpecker TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-bellied Woodpecker. See the full index history below.

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.7 (95% range 5.0–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.7 (95% range 5.0–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.54.86.3
20275.64.86.4
20285.64.96.4
20295.74.96.5
20305.75.06.5

Where the Red-bellied Woodpecker Is Detected

BBS routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker, sized by most recent count.

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend by State

Red-bellied Woodpecker population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alabama+54%1968109
Arkansas+75%196962
Connecticut24×197920
Delaware+185%196817
Florida+53%1968126
Georgia+12%1968111
Illinois+283%1968105
Indiana+90%196868
Iowa+146%196939
Kansas+359%196957
Kentucky+38%196864
Louisiana+291%196995
Maineinsufficient datan/a16
Maryland+121%196876
Massachusetts24×199726
Michigan18×196882
Minnesota12×196962
Mississippi+208%196874
Missouri+80%196995
Nebraska+509%197041
New Hampshire47×200415
New Jersey28×196841
New York89×196994
North Carolina+56%1968109
North Dakotainsufficient datan/a7
Ohio+325%196888
Oklahoma+55%196966
Pennsylvania43×1968130
Rhode Island+801%20064
South Carolina-1%196851
South Dakotainsufficient datan/a5
Tennessee+94%196855
Texas+43%1969123
Vermont+772%200613
Virginia-15%196886
West Virginia+306%196864
Wisconsin+761%196893

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Red-bellied Woodpecker population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Prairie Potholes+146%197046
Boreal Hardwood Transition46×197876
Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain30×196875
Atlantic Northern Forest50×199550
Central Mixed Grass Prairie+216%196994
Edwards Plateau+132%197311
Oaks and Prairies+73%196969
Eastern Tallgrass Prairie+251%1968277
Prairie Hardwood Transition+800%1968158
Central Hardwoods+35%1968166
West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas+117%1969110
Mississippi Alluvial Valley+199%196873
Southeastern Coastal Plain+51%1968346
Appalachian Mountains+388%1968390
Piedmont+112%1968170
New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast+113%1968153
Peninsular Florida+30%196881
Gulf Coastal Prairie+59%196936

Red-bellied Woodpecker Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it up about 46% since 1968.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.