BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain has risen sharply: up 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+51%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
346Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has risen sharply in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 18 (95% range 16–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
16–2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±3.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 18 (95% range 16–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026181619
2027181619
2028181620
2029181620
2030181620

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trace LormanMISSISSIPPI612019
Trace SouthMISSISSIPPI542019
Broad BranchFLORIDA462025
LovedaleFLORIDA452011
New HopeFLORIDA442011
Vicksburg NpMISSISSIPPI442021
BlountstownFLORIDA422025
Miller XrdsFLORIDA422019
WoodbineGEORGIA422024
NorwoodLOUISIANA412025
CallahanFLORIDA392024
Seminole Hills 2FLORIDA392022
OlusteeFLORIDA392025
EpesALABAMA382024
Sanderson 2FLORIDA382024
Oak Ridge VickMISSISSIPPI382021
Gainestown FerryALABAMA352015
CouncilGEORGIA342025
HilliardFLORIDA322025
PinettaFLORIDA322025
Leaf RiverMISSISSIPPI322013
NewtonALABAMA312024
Cypress LakesNORTH-CAROLINA312025
Milltail CrNORTH-CAROLINA302025
DaleSOUTH-CAROLINA302025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.