Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-bellied Woodpecker In Atlantic Northern Forest
Red-bellied Woodpecker in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 48× on the route-weighted index since 1995.
48×Since 1995
45Routes In Region
30Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in Atlantic Northern Forest: up 48× on the route-weighted index since 1995.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.88 (95% range 0.46–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.4%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-28%Change by 2029
0.88Projected 2029 index
0.46–1.395% range
±64.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.77 | 0.35 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.80 | 0.38 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.82 | 0.40 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.85 | 0.43 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.88 | 0.46 | 1.3 |
Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest
| Canterbury | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 10 | 2024 |
| N Orange | MASSACHUSETTS | 8 | 2024 |
| Monterey | MASSACHUSETTS | 7 | 2024 |
| Newcastle | MAINE | 6 | 2024 |
| Turner 2 | MAINE | 5 | 2024 |
| Chesterfield | MASSACHUSETTS | 5 | 2024 |
| Peterborough | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 5 | 2024 |
| Marlow | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 4 | 2024 |
| W Rutland | VERMONT | 4 | 2024 |
| Westbrook | MAINE | 3 | 2024 |
| Pittsfield | MASSACHUSETTS | 3 | 2016 |
| Kasoag | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2024 |
| New Hartford | CONNECTICUT | 2 | 1987 |
| Bethel | MAINE | 2 | 2019 |
| Sheffield | MASSACHUSETTS | 2 | 2022 |
| Cummington 2 | MASSACHUSETTS | 2 | 2023 |
| Fitzwilliam | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Concord | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Gilmantn I W | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Post Mills | VERMONT | 2 | 2024 |
| S Wallingfrd | VERMONT | 2 | 2022 |
| New Hartford | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 2024 |
| Greenwood | MAINE | 1 | 2023 |
| Hartford | MAINE | 1 | 2014 |
| Freedom | MAINE | 1 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.