Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-bellied Woodpecker In Oaks and Prairies
Red-bellied Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies has risen sharply: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+65%Since 1969
69Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-bellied Woodpecker has risen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: up 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.7 (95% range 5.4–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+37%Change by 2029
7.7Projected 2029 index
5.4–9.995% range
±41%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 9.6 |
| 2026 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 9.7 |
| 2027 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 9.8 |
| 2028 | 7.6 | 5.4 | 9.8 |
| 2029 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 9.9 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Ardmore | OKLAHOMA | 22 | 2009 |
| Paige | TEXAS | 16 | 2024 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 14 | 2024 |
| Muldoon | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Sadler | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 11 | 2018 |
| Loco | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 1985 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 2024 |
| Beggs | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 2023 |
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 10 | 2024 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 9 | 2024 |
| Oak Grove 2 | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Cayuga | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Thornton 2 | TEXAS | 9 | 2010 |
| Choctaw | OKLAHOMA | 8 | 2023 |
| Arenosa Crk | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Oak Grove | TEXAS | 8 | 1999 |
| Burton | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Decatur | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Ola | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Glen Rose | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Selden | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Hearne | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Megargel | TEXAS | 7 | 2022 |
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 6 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.