BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida has increased: up 30% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+30%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
81Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 10% by 2030 — from 25 in 2025 to a central estimate of 23 (95% range 17–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
23Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
17–2895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 10% by 2030 — from 25 in 2025 to a central estimate of 23 (95% range 17–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026221628
2027221728
2028221728
2029221728
2030231728

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PinecrestFLORIDA712025
GoetheFLORIDA472025
PinelandsFLORIDA452024
CitrusFLORIDA422025
BelmoreFLORIDA412024
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA402025
St LucieFLORIDA392025
Ridge HarborFLORIDA372025
CorbettFLORIDA362025
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA342025
CroomFLORIDA322025
WebbFLORIDA322025
Mt. OliveFLORIDA312025
ChildsFLORIDA292022
KenansvilleFLORIDA282025
GardnerFLORIDA271999
ChassahowitzFLORIDA272025
RomeoFLORIDA262025
FlamingoFLORIDA262025
Lake BuffumFLORIDA242024
Indiantown 2FLORIDA242025
HomesteadFLORIDA222025
Devils GardnFLORIDA222025
Babcock RnchFLORIDA221990
Myakka HeadFLORIDA212011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.