BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida has increased: up 29% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+29%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
81Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 22 (95% range 17–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-21%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
22Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
17–2895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 22 (95% range 17–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025221627
2026221628
2027221628
2028221628
2029221728

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PinecrestFLORIDA822024
CorbettFLORIDA502024
ChassahowitzFLORIDA482024
Devils GardnFLORIDA452024
PinelandsFLORIDA452024
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA442024
BelmoreFLORIDA412024
Mt. OliveFLORIDA412024
GoetheFLORIDA392024
ScottsmoorFLORIDA362024
NobletonFLORIDA342024
KenansvilleFLORIDA332024
WebbFLORIDA332024
ChildsFLORIDA292022
CroomFLORIDA292024
CitrusFLORIDA292024
GardnerFLORIDA271999
FlamingoFLORIDA272024
Ridge HarborFLORIDA272024
HomesteadFLORIDA262024
Island GroveFLORIDA252024
Polk CityFLORIDA242024
Lake BuffumFLORIDA242024
CrewsvilleFLORIDA242024
St LucieFLORIDA232024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.