BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 40× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

40×Since 1978
71Routes In Region
43Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 40× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 0.83 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.62 (95% range 0.40–0.85). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2029
0.62Projected 2029 index
0.40–0.8595% range
±43%Backtest error
19732029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.570.340.80
20260.580.350.81
20270.590.370.82
20280.610.380.84
20290.620.400.85

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Pleasant Valley 2MICHIGAN72024
MayfieldMICHIGAN72022
Washington IWISCONSIN72024
Bear LakeMICHIGAN62024
CunardMICHIGAN32021
OberlinMICHIGAN32024
Sand LakeMICHIGAN32024
HarriettaMICHIGAN32024
Mille LacsMINNESOTA32024
BrainerdMINNESOTA32024
CouderayWISCONSIN32018
CrandonWISCONSIN32024
BashawWISCONSIN32022
Weirgor SpringsWISCONSIN32023
IsabellaMICHIGAN22010
RiggsvilleMICHIGAN22019
CathroMICHIGAN22016
Seney NwrMICHIGAN22018
SidnawMICHIGAN21993
Wigwam BayMINNESOTA22023
DebsMINNESOTA22015
McgregorMINNESOTA22022
Union TwpWISCONSIN22024
ExelandWISCONSIN22024
GilmanWISCONSIN22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.