BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau has edged up: up 15% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+15%Since 1973TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
10Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
46YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 123% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.42 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±246%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+123%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.42Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±246%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 123% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.42 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±246%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.420.001.0
20260.420.001.0
20270.420.001.0
20280.420.001.0
20290.420.001.0

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pidcoke 2TEXAS62023
Valley SpgsTEXAS42016
ManorTEXAS22024
LeanderTEXAS22006
FitzhughTEXAS11983
PidcokeTEXAS12017
KempnerTEXAS12024
AdamsvilleTEXAS12018
Dripping SpgTEXAS12022
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.