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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 132% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+132%Since 1973TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
47YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 131% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 53% by 2030 — from 1.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±178.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-53%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.47Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±178.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 53% by 2030 — from 1.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±178.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.470.001.1
20270.470.001.1
20280.470.001.1
20290.470.001.1
20300.470.001.1

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pidcoke 2TEXAS92025
Valley SpgsTEXAS42016
Manor 2TEXAS32025
AdamsvilleTEXAS22025
ManorTEXAS22024
LeanderTEXAS22006
FitzhughTEXAS11983
PidcokeTEXAS12017
KempnerTEXAS12025
Dripping SpgTEXAS12025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.