BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods has increased: up 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+35%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
166Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 12 (95% range 10–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±5.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 12 (95% range 10–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261210.014
2027121014
2028121014
2029121015
2030121015

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BremenILLINOIS372025
BoxvilleKENTUCKY311983
Indian SpgsINDIANA302025
PulaskiILLINOIS292025
DelwoodILLINOIS262025
JoyKENTUCKY262023
HandleyMISSOURI252025
GeorgiaINDIANA232025
WhitewaterMISSOURI232025
CelestineINDIANA212025
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY212021
CentertownMISSOURI212025
Union HillTENNESSEE212024
RoyaltonILLINOIS192025
GatewoodKENTUCKY192019
RomeOHIO192025
Pond CreekTENNESSEE192025
HillsboroALABAMA181996
TrianaALABAMA182012
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY182024
SwedenMISSOURI182025
CascadeMISSOURI182025
Clementine 2MISSOURI182007
MillerMISSOURI182025
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE172025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.