BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods has increased: up 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+37%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
166Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 10–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 10–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251210.014
2026121014
2027121014
2028121015
2029121015

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BremenILLINOIS342024
GeorgiaINDIANA322024
BoxvilleKENTUCKY311983
Osage BeachMISSOURI292024
New PhilaINDIANA272024
JoyKENTUCKY262023
Indian SpgsINDIANA252024
MincyMISSOURI252024
WhitewaterMISSOURI232024
CelestineINDIANA222024
CraneMISSOURI222024
PulaskiILLINOIS212024
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY212021
Union HillTENNESSEE212024
WilliamsvillMISSOURI202024
CentervilleMISSOURI202024
Doe RunMISSOURI202024
YorkILLINOIS192024
GatewoodKENTUCKY192019
HillsboroALABAMA181996
TrianaALABAMA182012
BelknapILLINOIS182024
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY182024
SwedenMISSOURI182024
Clementine 2MISSOURI182007

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.