BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 113% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+113%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
153Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 113% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 9.8 (95% range 8.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.2–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 9.8 (95% range 8.2–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20269.37.811
20279.47.911
20289.58.011
20299.78.111
20309.88.211

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HarringtonDELAWARE272025
HongaMARYLAND252025
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS252025
CokesburyMARYLAND242025
NottinghamMARYLAND242025
PomfretMARYLAND232024
FredericaDELAWARE222025
MillingtonMARYLAND212025
ViennaMARYLAND212025
Pepperbox 2DELAWARE202025
PurdyNEW-YORK192022
MelitotaMARYLAND182025
Island CreekMARYLAND182025
BrocktonMASSACHUSETTS182019
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY182025
PomonkeyMARYLAND172025
HuntingtonNEW-YORK172023
Forest GroveMARYLAND162023
Pr FrederickMARYLAND162025
Port RoyalVIRGINIA162025
Milton 2DELAWARE152025
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND152025
MarionMASSACHUSETTS152025
DoverNEW-HAMPSHIRE152025
PomonaNEW-JERSEY152025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.