BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 104% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+104%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
153Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 104% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-bellied Woodpecker In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 8.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.6 (95% range 8.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.1–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±5.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 8.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.6 (95% range 8.1–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20259.27.711
20269.37.811
20279.47.911
20289.58.011
20299.68.111

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Island CreekMARYLAND282024
CokesburyMARYLAND262024
PomonkeyMARYLAND232024
PomfretMARYLAND232024
Milton 2DELAWARE222017
NottinghamMARYLAND222024
MillingtonMARYLAND212024
Piney NeckMARYLAND212024
PurdyNEW-YORK192022
BrocktonMASSACHUSETTS182019
StraffordNEW-HAMPSHIRE182024
PomonaNEW-JERSEY182024
S BarreMASSACHUSETTS172024
HuntingtonNEW-YORK172023
Mid HaddamCONNECTICUT162024
HarringtonDELAWARE162024
Forest GroveMARYLAND162023
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND162024
MelitotaMARYLAND152024
HongaMARYLAND152024
Pr FrederickMARYLAND152024
MaynardMASSACHUSETTS142022
LittletonMASSACHUSETTS142024
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY142024
Severna ParkMARYLAND132011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.