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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida has risen sharply: up 54% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+54%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
126Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-bellied Woodpecker Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has risen sharply in Florida: up 54% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 20–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
20–2995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 20–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025242029
2026242029
2027242029
2028252029
2029252029

Red-bellied Woodpecker Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pinecrest8220241966
Broad Branch6220241967
Corbett5020241987
Chassahowitz4820241996
Devils Gardn4520241987
Lovedale4520111987
Pinelands4520241990
New Hope4420112009
Dupuis W.E.A4420241994
Miller Xrds4220191987
Belmore4120241966
Mt. Olive4120242002
Osceola4020241991
Bloxham3920221987
Callahan3920241987
Seminole Hills 23920222002
Goethe3920242010
Sanderson 23820242022
Scottsmoor3620241968
Blountstown3420241966
Nobleton3420241987
Kenansville3320241967
Webb3320241990
Childs2920221966
Alligator Pt2920241987

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.