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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida has risen sharply: up 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+53%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
126Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-bellied Woodpecker Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-bellied Woodpecker has risen sharply in Florida: up 53% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 25 (95% range 21–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
21–2995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 25 (95% range 21–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026242029
2027252029
2028252029
2029252129
2030252129

Red-bellied Woodpecker Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pinecrest7120251966
Goethe4720252010
Broad Branch4620251967
Lovedale4520111987
Pinelands4520241990
New Hope4420112009
Blountstown4220251966
Miller Xrds4220191987
Citrus4220252010
Belmore4120241966
Dupuis W.E.A4020251994
Callahan3920241987
St Lucie3920251987
Seminole Hills 23920222002
Olustee3920251992
Sanderson 23820242022
Ridge Harbor3720251991
Corbett3620251987
Ft Lonesome3420251967
Hilliard3220251966
Pinetta3220251987
Croom3220251987
Webb3220251990
Mt. Olive3120252002
Childs2920221966

Red-bellied Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.