BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Gulf Coastal Prairie has increased: up 42% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+42%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
36Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Red-bellied Woodpecker in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.0 (95% range 3.5–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.5–8.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±27%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.0 (95% range 3.5–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.83.38.3
20265.83.48.3
20275.93.48.4
20285.93.58.4
20296.03.58.5

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
McfaddinTEXAS322016
Goliad PrairieTEXAS192016
LafitteLOUISIANA141991
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA142024
Vinton 2LOUISIANA142024
Moon Lake 2TEXAS122024
Hinkles FerTEXAS112024
Port AcresTEXAS112024
Moon LakeTEXAS102011
EstherLOUISIANA92024
DanburyTEXAS92024
RichardLOUISIANA82024
Forked IslandLOUISIANA82024
HackberryLOUISIANA72016
GlencoeLOUISIANA72018
MauriceLOUISIANA72024
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA72019
VintonLOUISIANA62009
JuniorLOUISIANA51991
WinnieTEXAS52024
KatyTEXAS52024
Rock IslandTEXAS52024
ChinquapinTEXAS52024
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA42011
StowellTEXAS42023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.