BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-bellied Woodpecker In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Red-bellied Woodpecker in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 31× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

31×Since 1968
74Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-bellied Woodpecker has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 31× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-bellied Woodpecker in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.1 (95% range 4.5–7.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+1%Change by 2029
6.1Projected 2029 index
4.5–7.695% range
±28.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.64.17.2
20265.74.27.3
20275.84.37.4
20286.04.47.5
20296.14.57.6

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Red-bellied Woodpecker in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
HiramOHIO252021
LattasburgOHIO172024
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA172023
HighlandNEW-YORK162022
W ShokanNEW-YORK152019
HebronOHIO142024
RhinebeckNEW-YORK132024
North EastonNEW-YORK132024
HamburgNEW-YORK122024
PenfieldNEW-YORK122024
TeeplevillePENNSYLVANIA122024
AusterlitzNEW-YORK112024
NaplesNEW-YORK112024
PittsfieldOHIO112024
HarrisvillePENNSYLVANIA112023
CatskillsNEW-YORK102015
Canadice LNEW-YORK102024
Valley CityOHIO102024
Ferris CrnrsPENNSYLVANIA102024
GhentNEW-YORK92024
OrleansNEW-YORK92024
LenoxOHIO82024
EspyvillePENNSYLVANIA82024
TrumansburgNEW-YORK72024
CastileNEW-YORK72024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.