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Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Mississippi has edged down: down 17% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-17%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
74Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Mississippi. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Mississippi is projected to rise about 117% by 2029 — from 7.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 6.3–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±147.5%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+117%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
6.3–2495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±147.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Mississippi is projected to rise about 117% by 2029 — from 7.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 6.3–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±147.5%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025156.424
2026156.424
2027156.424
2028156.424
2029156.324

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Diberville5719871979
Amite River4420132008
Fontainbleau4319781966
Leaf River4220132008
Walthall3519871970
Neely3420121974
Monticello3020172007
De Soto3020192008
Panther Swamp Nwr2920182016
Trace Lee2920182013
Lucien2520131967
Olive Branch2520011966
Okatibbee L.2520081995
Corinth2420241972
Sandy Creek2420001993
Tupelo2320221966
Beverly1920111966
Water Valley1920182015
Mt Carmel1820161974
Scooba1619821967
Trace Attala1620192016
Forest1520241972
Fort Adams1520221975
Scooba 21519871983
Fayette1420131966

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.