Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Towhee Population Trend in New York
Eastern Towhee in New York has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-67%Since 1968
124Routes In State
58Years
Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in New York
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in New York: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in New York is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 3.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±117%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.695% range
±117%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 3.7 |
| 2027 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3.6 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.6 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.6 |
Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in New York
| Jones Beach | 27 | 2013 | 1966 |
| Philadelphia | 20 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Fowler | 17 | 1968 | 1966 |
| Oxford | 15 | 1976 | 1967 |
| Branchport | 15 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Ogdensburg | 13 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Phillips Cr | 12 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Swain 2 | 12 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Duanesburg | 11 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Kasoag | 10 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Manorville | 9 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Dryden | 9 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Cattaraugus | 9 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Watertown | 8 | 2012 | 1967 |
| Warwick | 7 | 1974 | 1968 |
| Cayuga | 7 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Nashville | 7 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Somers | 6 | 1977 | 1970 |
| Rifton | 6 | 1986 | 1967 |
| E Newark | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Swain | 6 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Cicero Ctr | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| S Berne 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Orleans | 5 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Canadice L | 5 | 2024 | 1968 |
Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.