Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in New York

Eastern Towhee in New York has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-67%Since 1968
124Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in New York

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in New York: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in New York is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 3.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±117%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.003.695% range
±117%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.240.003.8
20260.130.003.7
20270.010.003.6
20280.000.003.6
20290.000.003.6

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in New York.
Jones Beach2720131966
Philadelphia2020241980
Fowler1719681966
Oxford1519761967
Branchport1520241967
Ogdensburg1320241980
Phillips Cr1220241967
Swain 21220242011
Duanesburg1120241966
Kasoag1020241966
Manorville920241966
Dryden920241966
Cattaraugus920191967
Watertown820121967
Warwick719741968
Cayuga720241969
Nashville720181967
Somers619771970
Rifton619861967
E Newark620241967
Swain620071967
Cicero Ctr620241966
S Berne 2620242014
Orleans520241967
Canadice L520241968

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.