BirdAnalyst
Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Louisiana

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Louisiana has increased: up 36% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+36%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
85Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in LouisianaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Louisiana. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in Louisiana

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Louisiana is projected to rise about 96% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.9 (95% range 2.9–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+96%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–9.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±75.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Louisiana is projected to rise about 96% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.9 (95% range 2.9–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.82.88.9
20265.92.88.9
20275.92.89.0
20285.92.89.0
20295.92.99.0

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in Louisiana

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Louisiana.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pine Prairie2119971995
Flat Creek2020241998
Marion1919961988
Slidell1419881984
Oakdale1419941991
Bickham1320241972
Plettenberg1320221968
Lake Cove1320182008
Lacombe1219831967
Pearl River1220241989
Ivan 21220162014
Trout1120241988
Norwood1120242004
Frogmore1120241998
Hargis1120112005
Hargis 21120142013
Carlisle919881968
Easton919901974
Vinton 2920172016
Greensburg820221988
Enterprise820242006
Fishville720171975
Transylvania720221998
Linville720231998
Goodwill720242007

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.