Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Towhee Population Trend in North Carolina
Eastern Towhee in North Carolina has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-55%Since 1968
112Routes In State
58Years
Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in North Carolina
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in North Carolina: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 11 (95% range 6.2–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+2%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
6.2–1695% range
±29%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 6.8 | 17 |
| 2026 | 12 | 6.7 | 17 |
| 2027 | 11 | 6.5 | 16 |
| 2028 | 11 | 6.3 | 16 |
| 2029 | 11 | 6.2 | 16 |
Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Brevard | 58 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Washington | 43 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Green Swamp | 43 | 2006 | 2002 |
| Mashoes | 41 | 1982 | 1971 |
| Shallotte | 36 | 1991 | 1966 |
| Arapahoe | 33 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Mooresville | 33 | 2001 | 1966 |
| Cullowhee | 30 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Sturgills | 29 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Sheep Ridge | 29 | 2024 | 1994 |
| N. Mills Riv | 28 | 1995 | 1994 |
| Linville | 27 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Todd | 22 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Spring Hope | 22 | 2024 | 2002 |
| California | 21 | 2013 | 1972 |
| Raeford | 21 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Craven Gap | 20 | 1975 | 1969 |
| Hamlet | 20 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Broad Creek | 20 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Marshall | 19 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Ernul | 18 | 2009 | 2001 |
| Chowan River | 18 | 2006 | 2002 |
| Cherryville | 17 | 1968 | 1966 |
| Highlands | 17 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Oteen | 16 | 2024 | 1976 |
Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.