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Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Virginia

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Virginia has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-62%Since 1968
88Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in Virginia

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in Virginia: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Virginia is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.0 (95% range 0.00–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-42%Change by 2029
6.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–1395% range
±22.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.80.0014
20266.60.0014
20276.40.0014
20286.20.0013
20296.00.0013

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Virginia.
New Market4620241992
Big Meadows4220241993
Shenandoa Np3620241993
Newbern3319821968
Rural Retrt3220241982
Dryden2820241991
Front Royal2820241993
Natural Brid2520241974
Iron Mountain 22320132012
Nat Tunnel2220241981
Ivanhoe2119681966
Hebron2120221981
Branchville2020241966
Blacksburg1820241988
Concord1720241967
Marion1719821976
Covington1620241966
Elamsville1620161978
Mountain Lk.1620181992
Truhart1620241996
Iron Mountain 31620232014
Iron Mtn.1520111992
Fincastle1420241966
Loft Mtn1420231993
Putnam1320211969

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.