BirdAnalyst
Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in New Jersey

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in New Jersey has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-74%Since 1968
44Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in New Jersey

long arc declinecomputed index

Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in New Jersey: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in New Jersey

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in New Jersey is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 9.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1595% range
±77.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.0017
20261.10.0016
20270.650.0016
20280.180.0015
20290.000.0015

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in New Jersey

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in New Jersey.
Spraguetown 38020242021
Friendship3620241977
Spraguetown2619991977
Mt Misery2619891976
Albion2120221966
Kemah Lake2120241966
Ancora2019771966
Bennett Mill1720001966
Pomona1620241978
Toms River1520241966
Del Haven1319911991
Spraguetown 21120122000
Villas919811979
High Point820241977
Holmansville720091969
Winslow720241989
Deepwater619771969
Sandbrook520241969
Gillette520241988
Estell Manor520222022
Pottersville420241977
Greenwich320241966
Clarksville319911969
Hope319941970
Dover320221977

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.