Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Vermont
Eastern Towhee in Vermont has collapsed: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-91%Since 1968
24Routes In State
58Years
Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in Vermont
long arc declinecomputed index
Eastern Towhee has collapsed in Vermont: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in Vermont
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Vermont is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.50 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±375.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±375.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in Vermont
| North Pownal | 4 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Gaysville | 3 | 2021 | 1966 |
| S Wallingfrd | 2 | 2022 | 1966 |
| W Rutland | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Northfld Fls | 2 | 1992 | 1987 |
| Fletcher | 2 | 2009 | 1972 |
| Hinesburg | 2 | 1981 | 1966 |
| Marlboro | 1 | 1986 | 1966 |
| Stratton | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Landgrove | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| S Reading | 1 | 2010 | 1966 |
| Post Mills | 1 | 1995 | 1966 |
| Shaftsbury | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| St Johnsbury | 1 | 1992 | 1971 |
| East Haven | 1 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Middlesex | 1 | 2000 | 1968 |
| East Calais | 1 | 2008 | 1967 |
| Newbury | 1 | 1990 | 1989 |
| Hardwick | 1 | 2010 | 1966 |
| Greensboro | 1 | 1993 | 1969 |
| Waterville | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Colchester | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Grand Isle | 1 | 1976 | 1967 |
| Bristol | 1 | 1998 | 1995 |
Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.