BirdAnalyst
Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Alabama

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in Alabama has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-47%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in Alabama. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Alabama is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 9.4–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
9.4–1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Alabama is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 9.4–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025141018
2026141018
2027149.818
2028149.618
2029139.417

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Nixburg 24420242000
Liberty City4020111979
Riverside3620131999
Dearmanville3519831966
Foley3419841966
Kymulga3420242000
Helicon3320241996
Swaim3120241966
Talladega3120241996
Mt Olive3020241966
Borden Springs 23020242001
Greensport2820241966
Smyer Lake2720241966
Choccolocco2720241984
Wedowee2720231996
Mclellan2520241966
Perdido2420242021
Lakeview2420241999
Liberty City 22420242017
Bay Minette2420241996
Triana2220121999
South2120241966
Epes2120241980
Childersburg2119991985
Wheeler Dam2120231993

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

arkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.