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Species · Alabama · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Alabama

All statesForest birds

Eastern Towhee in Alabama has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-51%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in AlabamaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Towhee has fallen sharply in Alabama: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in Alabama

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 13 (95% range 9.1–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
9.1–1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±5.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 13 (95% range 9.1–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±5.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026149.918
2027149.718
2028139.517
2029139.317
2030139.117

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in Alabama

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in Alabama.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Liberty City4020111979
Riverside3620131999
Dearmanville3519831966
Foley3419841966
Borden Springs 23020242001
Lakeview2920251999
Bay Minette2820251996
Mt Olive2720251966
Wedowee2720231996
Nixburg 22620252000
Kymulga2520252000
Talladega2520251996
Greensport2420251966
Latham 22420252005
Triana2220121999
Castleberry2120251966
Epes2120241980
Childersburg2119991985
Liberty City 22120252017
Eufaula2120241996
Swaim2020251966
Elamville2020251984
Elkmont2020251990
Millerville1820251966
Dauphin Is1819901966

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

arkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.