BirdAnalyst
Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in West Virginia

All statesGeneralists

Eastern Towhee in West Virginia has held roughly steady: up 2% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+2%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 16 (95% range 12–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
12–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 16 (95% range 12–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025151119
2026151119
2027151219
2028161219
2029161219

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Bramwell5220231978
Hix3620241970
Pedro3320241979
Welch3020231980
Bebee2920241972
Bismark2920231976
Denmar2720241980
Pt Pleasant2620231973
Yellow Spg2620231972
Green Bank2420241977
Ruthbelle2420241975
Smoot2320241980
Clendenin2320241979
Mcdonald2320231987
Clear Creek2220241988
Clinton2220241966
Monongah2120221966
Henderson2120232002
Sutton2020241976
Richwood2020241980
Bowden2020241993
Moundsville1920241972
Berryburg1919961975
Smithfield1920241993
Valley Head1820241966

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.