BirdAnalyst
Species · West Virginia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in West Virginia

All statesForest birds

Eastern Towhee in West Virginia has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+4%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Towhee Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Towhee in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

Eastern Towhee Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 16 (95% range 12–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
12–2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Towhee in West Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 16 (95% range 12–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026161219
2027161220
2028161220
2029161220
2030161220

Eastern Towhee Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Eastern Towhee in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Denmar4120251980
Hix3620251970
Pt Pleasant3420251973
Ghent2620251978
Yellow Spg2620231972
Bramwell2520251978
Bismark2520251976
Pedro2420251979
Paradise2420251966
Rockport2420251966
Meadland2320251997
Green Bank2320251977
Mcdonald2320231987
Ringgold2320252025
Smoot2220251980
Richwood2120251980
Monongah2120221966
Henderson2120232002
Bebee2020251972
Lost River2020251996
Canaan1920251974
Sutton1920251976
Moundsville1920251972
Berryburg1919961975
Clear Creek1820251988

Eastern Towhee Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.