Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Mississippi
Brown-headed Nuthatch in Mississippi has surged: up 159% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+159%Since 1968
45Routes In State
58Years
Notable Brown-headed Nuthatch Trends in Mississippi
long arc increasecomputed index
Brown-headed Nuthatch has surged in Mississippi: up 159% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Forecast in Mississippi
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in Mississippi is projected to rise about 190% by 2029 — from 0.42 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.01–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±245.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+190%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.01–2.495% range
±245.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2027 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2028 | 1.2 | 0.01 | 2.4 |
| 2029 | 1.2 | 0.01 | 2.4 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Survey Routes in Mississippi
| Lake Mary | 15 | 1990 | 1987 |
| Latimer 2 | 12 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Trace Madison | 9 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Poplarville | 8 | 1978 | 1972 |
| Walthall | 7 | 1987 | 1972 |
| Neely | 6 | 2012 | 1974 |
| Fontainbleau | 6 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Diberville | 5 | 1987 | 1979 |
| Cybur | 5 | 2019 | 1969 |
| Fort Adams | 5 | 2012 | 2009 |
| Beverly | 4 | 2011 | 1968 |
| Lake | 4 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Duffee | 4 | 2007 | 1973 |
| Fayette | 3 | 2013 | 1971 |
| Duck Hill | 3 | 1993 | 1970 |
| Columbia | 3 | 2015 | 1975 |
| Monticello | 3 | 2017 | 2007 |
| Sandy Creek | 2 | 2000 | 1994 |
| Lake Como | 2 | 1984 | 1983 |
| Okatibbee L. | 2 | 2008 | 1995 |
| Utica | 2 | 2006 | 1966 |
| Forest | 2 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Mt Carmel | 2 | 2011 | 1974 |
| Trace Choctaw | 2 | 2017 | 2012 |
| Trace Chickasaw | 2 | 2016 | 2012 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.