Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Arkansas
Brown-headed Nuthatch in Arkansas has declined: down 43% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-43%Since 1970
25Routes In State
55Years
Notable Brown-headed Nuthatch Trends in Arkansas
No notable trend signals for Brown-headed Nuthatch in Arkansas. See the full index history below.
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Forecast in Arkansas
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in Arkansas is projected to rise about 297% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.00–0.73). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±148.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+297%Change by 2029
0.28Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7395% range
±148.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
| 2026 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
| 2027 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
| 2028 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
| 2029 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.73 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Survey Routes in Arkansas
| Four Lakes | 10 | 2001 | 1994 |
| Old Milo | 6 | 2014 | 1967 |
| Ramsey | 6 | 1995 | 1967 |
| Coal Hill | 4 | 2023 | 2003 |
| Princeton | 4 | 2014 | 2003 |
| Blakely | 3 | 1996 | 1975 |
| Sims | 3 | 2019 | 2011 |
| Hope | 2 | 1996 | 1984 |
| Ashdown | 2 | 2006 | 1985 |
| Poyen | 2 | 2007 | 1970 |
| Hollywood | 2 | 2017 | 1971 |
| Springhill | 2 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Stephens | 2 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Dry Fork | 2 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Locust Bayou | 1 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Stamps | 1 | 1999 | 1967 |
| Ozark Nf | 1 | 2022 | 2005 |
| Magazine Mtn | 1 | 2021 | 1996 |
| Boston Mtn. | 1 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Crows | 1 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Waldron | 1 | 2022 | 2007 |
| Hatfield 2 | 1 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Havana | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Nance | 1 | 2014 | 1999 |
| Poyen 2 | 1 | 2019 | 2008 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.