Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Florida
Brown-headed Nuthatch in Florida has increased: up 42% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+42%Since 1968
69Routes In State
58Years
Notable Brown-headed Nuthatch Trends in Florida
No notable trend signals for Brown-headed Nuthatch in Florida. See the full index history below.
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Forecast in Florida
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in Florida is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.87–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-25%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.87–3.095% range
±27.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 0.82 | 2.9 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 0.83 | 2.9 |
| 2027 | 1.9 | 0.84 | 2.9 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 0.85 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 1.9 | 0.87 | 3.0 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Survey Routes in Florida
| Osceola | 42 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Goethe | 27 | 2024 | 2010 |
| Olustee | 24 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Bloxham | 22 | 2022 | 1987 |
| Apalachicola | 20 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Alligator Pt | 11 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Port St Joe 2 | 9 | 2019 | 2015 |
| Punta Gorda | 8 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Green Swamp | 8 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Telogia | 6 | 1985 | 1968 |
| Covington | 6 | 2016 | 1968 |
| St Vincent I | 6 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Pinelands | 6 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Nixon | 6 | 1986 | 1985 |
| Oak Grove | 5 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Lovedale | 5 | 2011 | 1988 |
| Port St Joe | 4 | 2014 | 1968 |
| Romeo | 4 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Blackwater | 4 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Callahan | 4 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Webb | 4 | 2024 | 1990 |
| New Hope | 4 | 2011 | 2009 |
| Seminole Hls | 3 | 2000 | 1967 |
| Steinhatchee | 3 | 2022 | 1967 |
| St Augustine | 3 | 2022 | 1967 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.