Species · Louisiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Louisiana
Brown-headed Nuthatch in Louisiana has fallen sharply: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-58%Since 1969
52Routes In State
57Years
Notable Brown-headed Nuthatch Trends in Louisiana
long arc declinecomputed index
Brown-headed Nuthatch has fallen sharply in Louisiana: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Forecast in Louisiana
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in Louisiana is projected to fall about 81% by 2029 — from 0.98 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-81%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±63.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 1.6 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Survey Routes in Louisiana
| Lacombe | 11 | 1983 | 1967 |
| Many | 9 | 1992 | 1989 |
| Hargis | 7 | 2011 | 2005 |
| Carterville | 6 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Pearl River | 5 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Fishville 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Burr Ferry | 5 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Ivan | 4 | 2013 | 1998 |
| Derry | 4 | 1989 | 1970 |
| Fort Polk | 4 | 1975 | 1967 |
| Hargis 2 | 4 | 2014 | 2013 |
| Clay | 4 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Lake Cove | 4 | 2017 | 2013 |
| Evelyn | 4 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Slidell | 4 | 1988 | 1984 |
| Derry 2 | 4 | 2024 | 1990 |
| De Ridder | 3 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Chatham | 3 | 1972 | 1968 |
| Vinton 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Franklinton | 3 | 2023 | 2008 |
| Goodwill | 3 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Vinton | 3 | 2009 | 2008 |
| Gonzales | 3 | 2011 | 2003 |
| De Quincy | 3 | 2017 | 1998 |
| Oakdale | 3 | 1994 | 1991 |
Brown-headed Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.