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Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesForest birds

Pileated Woodpecker in Mississippi has surged: up 395% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+395%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Pileated Woodpecker Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Pileated Woodpecker has surged in Mississippi: up 395% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Pileated Woodpecker Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 3.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.9–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-14%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.9–3.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Mississippi is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 3.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.9–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.61.83.5
20262.71.83.5
20272.71.93.5
20282.71.93.6
20292.81.93.6

Pileated Woodpecker Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trace Lorman1820192016
Trace South1520192007
Trace Choctaw1220192012
Benton920241972
Trace Attala920192016
Delta N.F.920211995
Eagle Lake820242012
Holly Springs820242009
Oak Ridge Vick820212015
Lake Mary719901974
Walthall719871970
Corinth720241972
Columbia620151971
De Soto620192009
Vicksburg Np620212016
Fort Adams620221975
Necaise620221982
Beverly520111967
Duck Hill520241968
Cybur520191966
Duffee520081975
Trace Central520222007
Trace North520182008
Amite River520132008
Dundee420221970

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.