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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Pileated Woodpecker in Texas has edged down: down 22% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-22%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Pileated Woodpecker Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Pileated Woodpecker in Texas. See the full index history below.

Pileated Woodpecker Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Texas is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.18–0.61). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.40Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.18–0.6195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Texas is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.18–0.61). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.410.190.62
20260.400.190.62
20270.400.180.62
20280.400.180.61
20290.400.180.61

Pileated Woodpecker Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Big Sandy Bith920232016
Weches920241995
Powell Park 2720242022
Fred720241995
Alexander St720241995
Bon Wier720241996
Smyrna720101999
Paige520242015
Town Bluff520241967
Moon Lake 2420242012
New Waverly420241969
Peach Creek419801980
Morton420241972
Easton 2420232016
Easton420121994
Neches Bith320172016
Muldoon320242009
Mt. Selman320241998
Goliad Prairie220142009
Hinkles Fer220241968
Danbury220171968
Arenosa Crk220241981
Chandler 2220242009
Caledonia220241969
Chinquapin220222018

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.