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Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Pileated Woodpecker in Texas has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-11%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Pileated Woodpecker Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Pileated Woodpecker in Texas. See the full index history below.

Pileated Woodpecker Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Texas is projected to fall about 19% by 2030 — from 0.49 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.18–0.61). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.40Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.18–0.6195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Texas is projected to fall about 19% by 2030 — from 0.49 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.18–0.61). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.410.190.62
20270.410.190.62
20280.400.190.62
20290.400.190.62
20300.400.180.61

Pileated Woodpecker Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Weches1120251995
Big Sandy Bith920232016
Diboll820251968
Smyrna720101999
Arenosa Crk520251981
Livingston520251971
Town Bluff420251967
New Waverly420241969
Peach Creek419801980
Morton420241972
Easton 2420252016
Fred420251995
Easton420121994
Hinkles Fer320251968
Neches Bith320172016
Caledonia320251969
Yoakum320251995
Burton320252001
Bon Wier320251996
Goliad Prairie220142009
Danbury220171968
Muldoon220252009
Moon Lake 2220252012
Chandler 2220242009
Powell Park 2220252022

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.