Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in New Jersey
Pileated Woodpecker in New Jersey has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
12×Since 1977
14Routes In State
48Years
Notable Pileated Woodpecker Trends in New Jersey
long arc increasecomputed index
Pileated Woodpecker has surged in New Jersey: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1977.
Pileated Woodpecker Population Forecast in New Jersey
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in New Jersey is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.58 (95% range 0.23–0.94). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-44%Change by 2029
0.58Projected 2029 index
0.23–0.9495% range
±24.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.54 | 0.19 | 0.90 |
| 2026 | 0.55 | 0.20 | 0.91 |
| 2027 | 0.56 | 0.21 | 0.92 |
| 2028 | 0.57 | 0.22 | 0.93 |
| 2029 | 0.58 | 0.23 | 0.94 |
Pileated Woodpecker Survey Routes in New Jersey
| Kemah Lake | 9 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Dover | 4 | 2023 | 1977 |
| Ramseysburg | 4 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Sandbrook | 3 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Hope | 3 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Midvale | 2 | 2016 | 1980 |
| High Point | 2 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Croton | 1 | 1997 | 1972 |
| Bloomsbury | 1 | 2024 | 2008 |
| Pottersville | 1 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Gillette | 1 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Keyport | 1 | 2021 | 2004 |
| Croton 2 | 1 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Roosevelt | 1 | 2022 | 2018 |
Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.