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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Pileated Woodpecker in Florida has surged: up 220% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+220%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
113Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Pileated Woodpecker Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Pileated Woodpecker has surged in Florida: up 220% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Pileated Woodpecker Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 4.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 3.0–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.0–4.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Florida is projected to fall about 13% by 2030 — from 4.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.8 (95% range 3.0–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.62.94.4
20273.72.94.5
20283.72.94.5
20293.83.04.5
20303.83.04.6

Pileated Woodpecker Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Olustee1820251992
Mt. Olive1620252002
Scottsmoor1520251969
Pinetta1120251987
Pinecrest1020251966
Hildreth 21020252010
Steinhatchee920251966
Seminole Hills 2920222002
San Antonio820251967
Bloxham820221988
St Lucie820251987
Sanderson 2820242022
Covington720211966
Deanville720191987
Nobleton720251987
Sebastian719921987
Port St Joe620111974
Belmont620251970
St Augustine620251967
Island Grove620251992
Flamingo620251983
Osceola620251991
Ocala620251987
Goethe620252010
Blountstown520251966

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.