BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

Pileated Woodpecker in Oklahoma has surged: up 136% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+136%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
38Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Pileated Woodpecker Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Pileated Woodpecker has surged in Oklahoma: up 135% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Pileated Woodpecker Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.3 (95% range 0.78–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.3Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.78–1.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±32.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pileated Woodpecker in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.3 (95% range 0.78–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.30.731.8
20261.30.741.8
20271.30.761.9
20281.30.771.9
20291.30.781.9

Pileated Woodpecker Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Pileated Woodpecker in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Baron720211970
Big Cedar620241967
Ouachita Nf620241991
Bartlesville620241967
Goodwater620211992
Hee Mountain520241999
Heyburn520241994
Bethel320241993
Colcord320221993
Mill Creek220161977
Canadian220081967
Beggs220231976
Matoy220001994
Tatums220241998
Pushmataha220231994
Blanco120161967
Mcalester119901967
Phillips120081979
Loco119771967
Ardmore120091973
Wichita Mtns East120142013
Mt. Herman120221998
Indianola120241970
Holdenville120231973
Choctaw120151973

Pileated Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.