BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Parula Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesForest birds

Northern Parula in Mississippi has surged: up 257% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+257%Since 1968
57Routes In State
58Years

Notable Northern Parula Trends in Mississippi

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Parula has surged in Mississippi: up 257% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Northern Parula Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Northern Parula in Mississippi is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 5.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 1.6–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
3.6Projected 2029 index
1.6–5.695% range
±42.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.41.45.5
20263.51.55.5
20273.51.55.5
20283.51.55.6
20293.61.65.6

Northern Parula Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Northern Parula in Mississippi.
Trace Lorman2320192016
Trace South2320192007
Trace Choctaw2220192012
Oak Ridge Vick2220212015
Holly Springs2120242010
Trace Chickasaw1720242012
Dundee1620221970
Corinth1620241974
Warren Vick1620222018
Cockrum1520241976
Beverly1320111966
Sandy Creek1320001993
Water Valley1320182015
Trace Attala1220192016
Fayette1020081968
Duck Hill820241971
Embry820242011
Fort Adams720221975
Tupelo620221985
Poplarville519781978
Trace North520182011
Lake Mary419901974
Olive Branch420011976
Winterville420112009
Delta N.F.420182003

Northern Parula Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.