Species · Alabama · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Parula Population Trend in Alabama
Northern Parula in Alabama has surged: up 599% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+599%Since 1968
97Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Parula Trends in Alabama
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern Parula has surged in Alabama: up 599% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Parula Population Forecast in Alabama
If the recent trend holds, Northern Parula in Alabama is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.8 (95% range 3.9–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-5%Change by 2029
4.8Projected 2029 index
3.9–5.695% range
±9.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| 2026 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| 2027 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 2028 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| 2029 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 5.6 |
Northern Parula Survey Routes in Alabama
| Gainestown Ferry | 85 | 2015 | 1999 |
| Cottonton | 26 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Sprott-Cahaba Riv | 24 | 2014 | 1999 |
| Epes | 23 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Chacaloochee Bay | 23 | 2019 | 2009 |
| Sprague | 19 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Whitehall | 18 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Liberty City 2 | 15 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Wedowee | 13 | 2023 | 2000 |
| Borden Springs 2 | 12 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Vina | 12 | 2023 | 1996 |
| Greensboro | 11 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Riverside | 11 | 2013 | 2001 |
| Millerville | 10 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Borden Sprng | 10 | 1998 | 1993 |
| Howard | 9 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Calebee | 9 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Nixburg 2 | 9 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Maytown | 8 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Warrior Std | 8 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Blocton | 8 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Liberty City | 8 | 2011 | 1984 |
| Holt | 8 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Latham | 7 | 2000 | 1970 |
| Wallsboro | 6 | 2021 | 1966 |
Northern Parula Population Trend in Other States
arkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.