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Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Parula Population Trend in Kansas

All statesForest birds

Northern Parula in Kansas has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

14×Since 1972
24Routes In State
48Years

Notable Northern Parula Trends in Kansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Parula has surged in Kansas: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Northern Parula Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Northern Parula in Kansas is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.61 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.52 (95% range 0.30–0.73). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.8%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
0.52Projected 2029 index
0.30–0.7395% range
±39.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.480.260.69
20260.490.270.70
20270.500.280.71
20280.510.290.72
20290.520.300.73

Northern Parula Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Northern Parula in Kansas.
Olsburg420242000
Le Loup320212000
Olathe220211972
Wreford220241993
Grantville220222002
Rock Creek220211968
Bucyrus220242022
Reece220242001
Lincolnville220242006
Severance220232000
Rock Creek 2220242022
Melrose120231967
Galesburg120231998
Humboldt120221977
Lapland120211997
Wellington120062006
Dalton120242010
Dover120181992
Barclay120151996
Buckeye120122011
Pittsburg120182004
Morehead120242004
Trading Post120232000
Longton120061991

Northern Parula Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.