BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Parula Population Trend in Texas

All statesForest birds

Northern Parula in Texas has declined: down 41% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-41%Since 1969
55Routes In State
57Years

Notable Northern Parula Trends in Texas

No notable trend signals for Northern Parula in Texas. See the full index history below.

Northern Parula Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Northern Parula in Texas is projected to fall about 64% by 2029 — from 0.29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-64%Change by 2029
0.11Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3295% range
±60.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.120.000.34
20260.120.000.33
20270.110.000.33
20280.110.000.32
20290.110.000.32

Northern Parula Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Northern Parula in Texas.
Burton820232000
Town Bluff620241967
Diboll520241968
Weches520241995
Paige420232015
Moon Lake 2420242017
Arenosa Crk320241993
Mt. Selman320011998
Decatur320242024
Thornton 3320182018
Hinkles Fer220241984
George West220012001
Livingston220241969
Oak Grove219991967
Crossroads220102000
Moon Lake220091994
Yoakum220241994
Leakey220242002
Easton 2220222022
Union Hill220241994
Gambill Ref.220242012
Indian Mtn220171990
Goliad Prairie120082006
Oak Grove 2120242003
Hearne120152002

Northern Parula Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.