Species · Wisconsin · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Parula Population Trend in Wisconsin
Northern Parula in Wisconsin has surged: up 142% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+142%Since 1968
42Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Parula Trends in Wisconsin
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern Parula has surged in Wisconsin: up 142% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Parula Population Forecast in Wisconsin
If the recent trend holds, Northern Parula in Wisconsin is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 0.47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.59 (95% range 0.38–0.80). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+25%Change by 2029
0.59Projected 2029 index
0.38–0.8095% range
±18.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.56 | 0.35 | 0.77 |
| 2026 | 0.57 | 0.36 | 0.78 |
| 2027 | 0.57 | 0.37 | 0.78 |
| 2028 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 0.79 |
| 2029 | 0.59 | 0.38 | 0.80 |
Northern Parula Survey Routes in Wisconsin
| Land O Lakes | 9 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Eagle River | 7 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Land O' Lakes 2 | 5 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Popple River | 4 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Cavour | 4 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Conover | 3 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Bayfield | 2 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Shanagolden | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Couderay | 2 | 2015 | 1969 |
| Rib Lake | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Crandon | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Weirgor Springs | 2 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Flambeau | 2 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Rhinelander | 2 | 2023 | 1998 |
| Chaffey | 1 | 2011 | 1979 |
| Iron River | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Minong | 1 | 2014 | 1971 |
| Grand View | 1 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Montreal | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Dresser | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Loraine | 1 | 2007 | 1984 |
| Cumberland | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Weyerhauser | 1 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Gilman | 1 | 2012 | 2012 |
| Phillips | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
Northern Parula Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.