Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Parula Population Trend in Georgia
Northern Parula in Georgia has surged: up 218% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+218%Since 1968
104Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Parula Trends in Georgia
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern Parula has surged in Georgia: up 218% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Parula Population Forecast in Georgia
If the recent trend holds, Northern Parula in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 5.6 (95% range 4.2–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+3%Change by 2029
5.6Projected 2029 index
4.2–7.095% range
±15.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 6.7 |
| 2026 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 6.8 |
| 2027 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 6.9 |
| 2028 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
| 2029 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 7.0 |
Northern Parula Survey Routes in Georgia
| Colonels Island | 47 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Woodbine | 30 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Riceboro | 24 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Ousley | 23 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Baxley | 21 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Stockton | 19 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Tarver | 15 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Headlight | 15 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Ware Co | 14 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Shiloh | 14 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Nashville | 12 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Deepstep | 12 | 2023 | 1976 |
| Boston | 12 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Piedmont Nwr | 12 | 2003 | 1991 |
| Council | 11 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Glenmore | 11 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Union | 11 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Folkston | 10 | 2022 | 1994 |
| Barges | 10 | 2024 | 2011 |
| Mountain Cty | 9 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Dover | 9 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Keller | 9 | 1994 | 1975 |
| Big Oak | 9 | 2024 | 2006 |
| Juliette | 8 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Whitesburg | 8 | 2024 | 1997 |
Northern Parula Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascaliforniaconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.