BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesForest birds

Hooded Warbler in Mississippi has surged: up 878% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+878%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Hooded Warbler Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Hooded Warbler has surged in Mississippi: up 878% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Hooded Warbler Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Mississippi is projected to rise about 46% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.1 (95% range 5.0–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+46%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.0–9.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Mississippi is projected to rise about 46% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.1 (95% range 5.0–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.74.68.8
20266.84.78.9
20276.94.89.0
20287.04.99.1
20297.15.09.2

Hooded Warbler Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Hooded Warbler in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trace Choctaw3320192012
Neely3120121974
Trace Attala2520192016
De Soto2320192008
Beverly2220111967
Forest2220241972
Trace South2120192007
Trace Lorman2120192016
Leaf River1920132008
Grenada Lake1720192014
Sandy Creek1620001993
Monticello1420172007
Lake Mary1319881974
Lucien1320131974
Holly Springs1320242009
Fort Adams1320221975
Warren Vick1320222018
Fayette1220131968
Waynesboro1220101970
Oak Ridge Vick1220212015
Columbia1120181970
Weir1120242007
Star1120242016
Trace Central920222007
Trace North920182008

Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganmissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.