Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Virginia
Hooded Warbler in Virginia has surged: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+100%Since 1968
79Routes In State
58Years
Notable Hooded Warbler Trends in Virginia
long arc increasecomputed index
Hooded Warbler has surged in Virginia: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Hooded Warbler Population Forecast in Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Virginia is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 3.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.7 (95% range 3.3–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+29%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
3.3–6.295% range
±59.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 5.9 |
| 2026 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 6.0 |
| 2027 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 6.1 |
| 2028 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 6.1 |
| 2029 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 6.2 |
Hooded Warbler Survey Routes in Virginia
| Pine Mtn. | 26 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Truhart | 20 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Front Royal | 19 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Glenwood | 15 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Isom | 13 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Rural Retrt | 12 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Pw Forest Pk | 12 | 2009 | 1992 |
| Bald Knob | 11 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Big Meadows | 11 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Iron Mountain 2 | 11 | 2013 | 2012 |
| Brandon | 9 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Loft Mtn | 9 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Waverly | 8 | 1987 | 1967 |
| Walkers | 7 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Elamsville | 6 | 2016 | 1979 |
| Newsoms | 6 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Dryden | 6 | 1998 | 1992 |
| Gr North Mtn | 6 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Shenandoa Np | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Iron Mtn. | 6 | 2011 | 1992 |
| Iron Mountain 3 | 6 | 2023 | 2014 |
| Branchville | 5 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Newville | 5 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Nat Tunnel | 5 | 2024 | 1981 |
| Ft Pickett N | 5 | 1995 | 1994 |
Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.