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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Hooded Warbler in Florida has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-11%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
49Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Hooded Warbler Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hooded Warbler in Florida. See the full index history below.

Hooded Warbler Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.48 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.48Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±39.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.48 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.520.001.3
20270.510.001.3
20280.500.001.3
20290.490.001.3
20300.480.001.3

Hooded Warbler Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Hooded Warbler in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Seminole Hills 22020222002
Miller Xrds1020191987
Oak Grove 21020252024
Telogia919851968
Seminole Hls820001967
Nixon719861985
New Hope620112009
Olustee520191994
Port St Joe420141969
Ft Gadsden420251969
Laurel Hill420252010
Defuniak Spr420061987
Hixtown Swmp420241987
Hilliard320251972
Oak Grove220161967
Blountstown220251966
Covington220191966
Steinhatchee220231967
Romeo219881969
Blackwater220251988
Callahan220241987
Ft Mccoy219891989
Cross City220101994
Bristol220221986
Mossy Head120071972

Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.