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Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Hooded Warbler in Florida has held roughly steady: up 5% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+5%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
49Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Hooded Warbler Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hooded Warbler in Florida. See the full index history below.

Hooded Warbler Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Florida is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 0.42 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.49 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.49Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Florida is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 0.42 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.49 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.530.001.3
20260.520.001.3
20270.510.001.3
20280.500.001.3
20290.490.001.3

Hooded Warbler Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Hooded Warbler in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Seminole Hills 22020222002
Miller Xrds1020191987
Telogia919851968
Seminole Hls820001967
Nixon719861985
New Hope620112009
Hilliard520241972
Olustee520191994
Port St Joe420141969
Defuniak Spr420061987
Hixtown Swmp420241987
Apalachicola320241987
Laurel Hill320242010
Oak Grove220161967
Blountstown220241966
Broad Branch220221969
Covington220191966
Steinhatchee220231967
Romeo219881969
Callahan220241987
Ft Mccoy219891989
Cross City220101994
Oak Grove 2220242024
Bristol220221986
Mossy Head120071972

Hooded Warbler Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianakentuckylouisianamarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourinew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.